Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 241.718693 272.861427 307.607890 349.457246 398.769575 455.366383 525.725463
2024-10-06 194.752168 235.317188 284.726138 350.167345 435.831042 545.967225 701.319915
2024-10-13 164.664597 207.582428 262.845284 340.737885 450.235217 602.730846 838.815537
2024-10-20 146.268017 190.672266 250.445775 339.093100 471.389552 668.810810 1001.005998
2024-10-27 127.799501 170.796535 230.636212 322.898301 467.163491 694.656237 1104.649096
2024-11-03 121.092022 166.170970 231.187712 335.766529 507.981043 797.108641 1361.757286
2024-11-10 116.357712 163.637860 234.142422 352.203651 556.625644 921.853572 1696.347446
2024-11-17 108.511402 155.543011 227.534919 352.006318 576.460771 998.654292 1959.062913
2024-11-24 99.669511 145.050321 215.981531 341.831676 576.454650 1037.141257 2150.054041
2024-12-01 92.232685 136.098848 205.990396 333.006035 577.321075 1077.104682 2357.489451
2024-12-08 89.113053 133.740316 206.540723 342.844432 615.551700 1203.503822 2830.832078
2024-12-15 84.910975 129.240662 202.995528 344.609734 637.667839 1299.165755 3261.831269
2024-12-22 79.815738 122.991059 196.081190 339.592351 645.718422 1366.293905 3648.227984
2024-12-29 76.077275 118.770411 192.390005 340.455124 666.881091 1471.687796 4216.235731
2025-01-05 71.274525 112.363789 184.206103 331.349095 664.034519 1514.377677 4590.734803
2025-01-12 67.941900 108.289106 179.943156 329.761487 678.442058 1607.841342 5215.834387
2025-01-19 63.069020 101.180332 169.497662 314.124486 656.687513 1593.630590 5395.751744
2025-01-26 62.098638 100.987474 172.072122 326.550064 706.399834 1804.933185 6724.633397
2025-02-02 61.541541 101.490725 176.001356 342.415376 768.175705 2076.213376 8623.340649
2025-02-09 59.222616 98.577839 172.975146 342.224950 787.113750 2212.580428 9943.443337
2025-02-16 56.061145 93.903106 166.095350 332.405043 777.777461 2247.228545 10687.784285
2025-02-23 53.254206 89.752760 160.009960 323.884903 770.945286 2290.131597 11547.955709
2025-03-02 52.397620 89.274046 161.395217 333.382610 818.482223 2558.267260 14412.929398